Consumer Confidence Declines in June

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index decreased 9.8 points to 121.5 in June. The Present Situation Index fell by 8.1 points to 162.6. The Expectations Index, based on consumers short-term outlook for income decreased 10.9 points to 94.1.

“After three consecutive months of improvement, Consumer Confidence declined in June to its lowest level since September 2017 (Index, 120.6),” said Lynn Franco, Senior Director of Economic Indicators at The Conference Board. “The decrease in the Present Situation Index was driven by a less favorable assessment of business and labor market conditions. Consumers’ expectations regarding the short-term outlook also retreated. The escalation in trade and tariff tensions earlier this month appears to have shaken consumers’ confidence. Although the Index remains at a high level, continued uncertainty could result in further volatility in the Index and, at some point, could even begin to diminish consumers’ confidence in the expansion.”

Consumers’ outlook for the labor market was less favorable. The proportion expecting more jobs in the months ahead decreased from 18.4 percent to 17.3 percent, while those anticipating fewer jobs increased from 13.0 percent to 14.8 percent. Regarding their short-term income prospects, the percentage of consumers expecting an improvement decreased from 22.2 percent to 19.1 percent, while the proportion expecting a decrease inched up from 7.8 percent to 8.0 percent.

Read the Conference Board release.

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Hugo Dante

Hugo Dante is a research associate in the Economic Policy and Research group at the ABA.